The 2020 presidential election was historic in many ways. White non-Hispanic Catholics were more supportive of Biden (at 42%) than they had been of Clinton in 2016 (31%), but Trump still captured a solid majority of their votes (57%). Meanwhile, even as officials publicly argue against reliance on the policy, they have expanded its use multiple times, abruptly, to target Venezuelans and now also Nicaraguans, Haitians and Cubans. This includes all mentions of him, but not of other individuals such as his family members and former administration members or of references to his administration broadly. Preferences were more evenly divided among those who cast their ballots in person ahead of Election Day: 52% voted for Trump while 47% voted for Biden. White Catholics made up 14% of all voters. In 2016, Trump won White men by 30 points (62% to 32%). The one area where there was less divergence by media outlet group, however, was in the framing of the Biden stories. (Nicholas Kamm/AFP via Getty Images) The list is fairly long and growing: Voter surveys conducted for major news organizations, including the exit polls by Edison Research for the National Election Pool and AP VoteCast by NORC at the University of Chicago for the Associated Press and Fox News; the. Wizbang Caption Contest Winners Week of July 31, 2020, Polls and Bad Sausage: Another Look at the Business of Polling. The problem for Biden is that sooner or later he does have to go out and campaign, and A lot of the voters who give Biden their support right now do so softly and without commitment; Trump can win them to his side in some cases, or convince them to just stay home. However, as with voters overall, there was a substantial age divide within this group. Overall, 58% of Trump voters were Protestant, compared with just 35% of Biden voters. White evangelical Protestants, in particular, remained a critical part of the Republican voting coalition, making up 34% of Trumps voters but just 6% of Bidens. Voters believe Trump opposes regulations that slow down our economy Thus far, that theory hasnt really panned out the US has continued to experience record-breaking numbers of migrants and asylum seekers at its south-west boundary, despite decades of presidents pursuing this paradigm of prevention through deterrence. The economy and health care were at the top, each accounting for about 20% of total coverage. Or, such a story could be framed around the evaluation of the president in terms of his outreach to and relationship with members of Congress, which would then be coded as leadership and character. One of his campaign statements noted: Most Americans can trace their family history back to a choice a choice to leave behind everything that was familiar in search of new opportunities and a new life. This is the latest report in Pew Research Centers ongoing investigation of the state of news, information and journalism in the digital age, a research program funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts, with generous support from the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation. Each news outlet in this study was placed in one of three groups based on the political profile of its audience (i.e., those respondents in the survey who reported getting political news from each outlet in the past week). Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. These voters formed substantial bases of support for both Biden and Trump. (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. This aligns with the content analysis, which found that the economy and health care were the two leading topics for the period studied (see Chapter 1). In all, about three-quarters (78%) of their stories offered a negative assessment of the administration and its actions, with only 4% offering a positive assessment. At the same time, the outlets with right-leaning audiences were much more likely to cite other journalists and media outlets (35% of stories, versus 17% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences and 15% in mixed-audience outlets). To do this, the survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, on Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel, asked respondents to indicate whether they got political news in the past week from each of 25 national news outlets (the same outlets as in the content study see Appendix A for details). Pew Research Center has studied news coverage of the start of each new administration since 1993, when Bill Clinton began his presidency. But while the percentage of Biden stories with an overall negative assessment (32%) modestly outnumbered the share with positive assessments (23%), stories with negative assessments of Trump outnumbered those with positive assessments by four-to-one (44% to 11%). Roughly half of U.S. adults (52%) said they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders to reverse many Trump administration policies. This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . Prior to 2016, differences in candidate preferences by education were typically much smaller than they were that year. These shares were reversed among absentee and mail-in voters: 65% of absentee voters said they voted for Biden, compared with 33% who voted for Trump. By comparison, just 2% of voters chose a third-party candidate in 2020. The economy and immigration are the topics with the highest shares saying they are not getting enough attention (44% and 43%, respectively). And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. PUNE, April 11, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Cannabis Extraction Market Scope is predictable . Many people subjected to this policy often referred to by its shorthand, Title 42 have been stranded in or expelled to dangerous conditions in Mexico, or else swiftly returned to the unstable and sometimes life-threatening realities at home that many of them risked life and limb to escape. Still, a comparison of the 2017 data for the full 100 days and the first 60 days found only minimal percentage differences and no changes in the overall findings (see Appendix B for details.). To be sure, Hispanic voters are not a monolith; there is substantial diversity within the Hispanic electorate. In contrast, rural voters were more likely to report voting in person on Election Day. Trump mention: Each story was analyzed for whether former President Donald Trump was mentioned. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. Americans in the mixed media group are also most likely to say the pandemic is getting the most attention from their main news sources (53%), with the economy next at 21%. Nonvoters are citizens who were not found to have a record of voting in any of the voter files or told us they did not vote. The 2020 election featured continuity in the voting patterns of major demographic and political groups in the population, but there were a few important shifts. Trumps honesty appears challenged By contrast, older age groups divided fairly evenly between Biden and Trump, a result not too different from 2016. Two of the questions were correctly answered by large majorities of Americans: a question about the proposed increased national minimum wage (81% correctly answered $15 an hour) and a question about the number of doses required for the COVID-19 vaccines approved in the U.S. (69% correctly answered that the number of doses required varies depending on the vaccine).4. Trump's indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star yanked the spotlight off of DeSantis. The survey panel also makes it possible to examine change in turnout and vote preference over time among many of the same individuals. As the chart show, 17.7% of tweets are positive when mentioning Biden while 13.7% when mentioning Trump and 39% negative vs 48% negative respectively.. In 2016, White, non-college women supported Trump by a margin of 56% to 33%. The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. Initially, Biden delivered, with a flurry of executive actions and other first steps to undo Trumps crackdown. Very few members of Gen Z (born 1997 and later) were eligible to vote in the 2016 electorate, and they made up just 1% of all voters that year. FILE - Former President Donald Trump announces a third run for president as he speaks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Nov. 15, 2022. among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. Biden is the lesser of two evils Biden, by contrast, drew strong support from religiously unaffiliated voters atheists, agnostics, and those who say their religion is nothing in particular. Together, these voters made up 25% of voters, which is a slightly larger share of the total electorate than White evangelicals (19%). Much of both Trump and Bidens border strategies are predicated on the notion that if the US government erects enough barriers and gets rid of enough incentives, people will stop trying to come. In 2020, 46% of Biden voters had at least a college degree; 53% did not have a degree. On the other hand, former Vice President Joe Biden has a different opinion. Voters do not like the violence and rioting occurring with the protests, especially since Democrats like Biden say nothing about it Let's look at the overall sentiment. I have been generally optimistic about President Trumps campaign up to now, but I think its important to step back and work to be objective. Trump took 43% to Biden's 37%. The average unfavorable rating told a similar story, with Biden at 52.4% and Trump on 55.8%. Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish Americans compare presidents all the time. But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. Nonvoters in 2020 were more closely divided on partisanship than they were in 2016. All original content copyright 2003-2014 by Wizbang, LLC. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. Within a news story, the statements from the sources cited as well as the reporters own language determine the overall assessment of the Biden administration. For more details, see the methodology. Far more Trump voters (roughly 70% in each presidential election) did not have a four-year college degree. (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. The coronavirus was very prevalent throughout coverage in the outlets with left-leaning and mixed audiences, with the economy as the top specific topic area. Joe Biden understands that is an irrefutable source of our strength.. Overall, 65% of the stories were framed around the new presidents policy agenda and ideology, compared with 35% around character and leadership. Under the. Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. That framing is dramatically different from the coverage of the first few months of the Trump administration four years earlier. New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Respondents who didnt turn to any of the 25 outlets. Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. Protestants made up a majority of those voting Republican in 2020, just as they did in 2016. The study also catalogued the presence in each story of 13 possible types of sources. But when the number of people crossing into the US from Mexico without authorization swiftly increased, his more tempered tactics became a political liability, giving Republicans fuel to spin false yet convincing to some narratives about an open and mismanaged border. All rights reserved. And in each of the three main media groupings studied, at least 59% of the stories were oriented around policy and agenda. Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. White non-Hispanic adults were 72% of voters in 2020 but just 55% of nonvoting citizens. Most Americans have been following news about the Biden administration closely, 5. Part of Trumps enduring legacy is tied to being the president who separated families at the US-Mexico border and threw kids in cages for days or weeks, often with little communication or information provided to keep track of them. While Trump announced Nov. 15 that he would mount a third bid for the White House in 2024, Biden has . With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with . Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trumps own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. At the same time, the publics sense of news coverage of the Biden administration is more positive than the study of the news coverage reveals: 46% of U.S. adults say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration offered mostly positive assessments, far more than the 14% who say theyve seen mostly negative ones. The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. Younger voters also made up an outsize share of these voters: Those under age 30 made up 38% of new or irregular 2020 voters, though they represented just 15% of all 2020 voters. In 2016, about half of Clintons voters described their communities as suburban (48%), while 32% said they were from an urban area and 19% were from a rural area. If his decisions cause harm, he will be blamed for their effects But those numbers varied widely by types of media outlets. A Biden family member (not in the administration), Donald Trump, his family or former administration, A journalist (other than the reporter or anchor of the story) or news organization. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, Grouping news outlets by their audience ideology, At 100 Day Mark: Coverage of Biden Has Been Slightly More Negative Than Positive, Varied Greatly by Outlet Type, coverage of former President Donald Trump, stopped federal funding for the border wall, coded as being about one of 47 specific topics, Next: 1. While Biden took a 59% majority of the Hispanic vote, Trump (with 38%) gained significantly over the level of support Republican candidates for the House received in 2018 (25%). Roughly two-thirds of Trump voters (68%) said they voted in person, either on (38%) or before (30%) Election Day. (Americans who consume news from these outlets were also much more likely to report hearing a lot about immigration policy reform, according to the survey data.) We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. Amid a global pandemic, with unprecedented changes in how Americans voted, voter turnout rose 7 percentage points over 2016, resulting in a total of 66% of U.S. adult citizens casting a ballot in the 2020 election. This study classified stories into one of two main frames (whichever accounted for more than 50% of the story): For example, an article or segment about health care could be framed around the legislative differences in what the administration is proposing versus members of Congress (thus coded as core ideology and policy agenda). This is important because The impeachment put a bad taste in the mouth of voters who now apply that to new conditions White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). Among independents and those who affiliated with other parties, Biden led Trump by 52%-43%. Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters minds News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. While the media landscape has changed dramatically since Clintons presidential inauguration, the Center has been able to conduct a long-term comparison for each of the recent administrations across a smaller subset of outlets and variables.2. Overall, one-in-four 2020 voters (25%) had not voted in 2016. Black Americans made up 11% of voters, but a slightly larger share (14%) of nonvoting citizens, and Hispanic adults were 10% of voters but 20% of nonvoting citizens. This years analysis finds that coverage of the Biden administration in this smaller sample of news outlets was more likely to carry neither a positive nor a negative assessment compared with the first 60 days of the Trump, Obama, Bush and Clinton administrations. Although turnout was strong, stark demographic differences between voters and nonvoters similar to those seen in past U.S. elections were present in 2020, a pattern familiar to political observers. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). In looking at how the exposure to news stories lines up with the topics that received more or less coverage in Part 1, the two storylines Americans were most likely to have heard a lot about passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the vaccine align with the two topic areas to receive the most coverage: the economy and health care. 1. Here are the questions used for this report and its methodology. Amid such an ideological quagmire, a reactive, confusing and often contradictory immigration agenda has emerged from this administration. Trump was counting on drawing blood with his attacks on Biden's family, making this into a controversy that finally pulls his front-running opponent back to earth. A majority of Biden voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election (58%). In 2020, they were 8% of the total, though their lower rate of turnout compared with older age cohorts is reflected in the fact that they were 15% of eligible nonvoters. A number of factors determined the composition of the 2020 electorate and explain how it delivered Biden a victory. It looks at how new voters and voters who turned out in one or both previous elections voted in the 2020 presidential election and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition and vote choices of the 2020 electorate. Biden isnt a better option why make a different choice if its not a better choice? Overall, 32% of stories about the Biden administration had a negative assessment, while 23% had a positive one and 45% were neither positive nor negative. President Trump repeated his claim that Joe Biden wants to ban fracking - the controversial process of drilling below ground and using high-pressure water to force out gas. NASDAQ Comparison Chart DOW JONES Comparison Chart Trump looks too eager to argue and fight, not work out solutions with Democrats The Center has also conducted similar analyses for the early months of the four prior administrations: those of Donald Trump, Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. When asked whether five key priorities of the new administration were getting too much attention, too little attention or the right amount of coverage, only one such topic the COVID-19 pandemic was identified by a majority of Americans (58%) as getting the right amount. (For more details, see Methodology.). Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. Bidens been in hiding Voters do not blame Trump for the virus, but expect his decisions to be for the best interests of the nation. The issue of Immigration in the United States has been at the top of Trump's priority during his stint in office. During these first 60 days, stories were slightly more likely to carry an overall negative assessment of the administration (32%) than a positive one (23%), though just under half were neither positive nor negative (45%).1. Update (Oct. 8): Updated with Biden's continued refusal to clarify his stance on court packing. There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. During his tenure, Mr. Trump has: Passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which in part lowered the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . Trump runs his mouth too much (but he gets the job done) Only among members of the Silent Generation, ages 75 to 92 in 2020, was Trump clearly favored (by 58%-42%). All others are categorized as neither positive nor negative. Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. Nearly two-in-ten voters who cast a ballot for Biden in the 2020 election (19%) were Black, identical to the share of Clinton voters in 2016 who were Black. One noteworthy feature of the 2020 election was the wide education gap among Hispanic voters. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. Ideological divisions within the parties were also apparent in the vote, with both Trump and Biden doing better among the ideological core of their parties. So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? 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